Pakistan Stock Exchange and Macroeconomic Indicators

A Case Study of KSE 100 Index

Authors

  • Ammar Siddiqui School of Business Sciences, University of Witwatersrand
  • Athar Iqbal Iqra University, Karachi

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46568/kubrj.v1i1.4

Keywords:

Stock, Returns, Macroeconomic, Economy, Growth

Abstract

This study has found a relatively strong and consistent response of stock market returns to Pakistan’s macroeconomic indicators. It was observed that the variables that have been set were seen to be in a stationary motion. The economic model used, provided that there has been a strong relation that was occurring in between the variables that had been studied. As the movements in the KSE-100 index are a significant indicator of the Pakistan economy, this study particularly examine the impact of macroeconomic indicators on Karachi Stock Exchange-100 index. For analysis, yearly data from December 1991 to December 2017 was used in this specific study. The result reflects that there was a negative impact of internal and external debt, inflation, GDP, foreign direct investment on KSE-100 index, while, exchange rate and interest rate had a significant positive effect on the KSE-100 index. Moreover, money supply found out to be a variable which has no influence on KSE-100 index. The results of vector auto regression revealed that out of eight macroeconomic variables only money supply could be excluded in future research as it has no impact on KSE-100 index.

Author Biographies

Ammar Siddiqui, School of Business Sciences, University of Witwatersrand

Lecturer
School of Business Sciences
University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg

Athar Iqbal, Iqra University, Karachi

Assistant Professor
Iqra University
Karachi

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Published

2020-06-30

How to Cite

Siddiqui, A. ., & Iqbal, A. . (2020). Pakistan Stock Exchange and Macroeconomic Indicators: A Case Study of KSE 100 Index. Karachi University Business Research Journal, 1(1), 25-37. https://doi.org/10.46568/kubrj.v1i1.4

Issue

Section

Articles